열화시스템의 수리를 위한 베이지안 의사결정 모형의 개발
- Title
- 열화시스템의 수리를 위한 베이지안 의사결정 모형의 개발
- Other Titles
- Developing a Bayesian Decision Model for Deteriorating System Repair
- Author
- 안선응
- Keywords
- Power Law Failure Model; Bayesian Decision Model; Prior Distribution
- Issue Date
- 2005-05
- Publisher
- 한국산업경영시스템학회
- Citation
- 한국산업경영시스템학회 2005 춘계학술대회 논문집, Page. 138-147
- Abstract
- This paper is intended to develop a Bayesian decision model for the repair of
deteriorating system. A non-homogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure
intensity function is used to describe the behavior of the deteriorating repairable
system. The decision on whether to have minimal repair or imperfect repair should
be made on the occurrence of a failure. However, it is difficult to make a
reasonable decision due to many uncertainties intrinsic in repair actions.
In this paper, prior distributions are used in order to analyze the uncertainties
embedded in the decision alternatives. Especially, a prior distribution for
imperfect repair with probabilistic reduction in the failure intensity is proposed.
In addition, mathematical expressions to calculate the expected prior loss of each
repair alternative are proposed.
- URI
- http://db.koreascholar.com/Article?code=354136https://repository.hanyang.ac.kr/handle/20.500.11754/110578
- Appears in Collections:
- COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING SCIENCES[E](공학대학) > INDUSTRIAL AND MANAGEMENT ENGINEERING(산업경영공학과) > Articles
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