Full metadata record
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | 김태웅 | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2018-12-17T00:56:32Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2018-12-17T00:56:32Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2018-01 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | KSCE JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING, v. 22, No. 1, Page. 365-372 | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 1226-7988 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs12205-017-0788-2 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://repository.hanyang.ac.kr/handle/20.500.11754/80889 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Most drought indices are evaluated based on pre-defined thresholds, which are inadequate for demonstrating the inherent uncertainty of drought. This study employed a hidden Markov model-based drought index (HMM-DI) for probabilistic assessment of meteorological drought in South Korea. The HMM-DI was developed to take into account the inherent uncertainty embedded in daily precipitation and to assess drought severity without using pre-defined thresholds. Daily rainfall data recorded during 1973-2015 at 56 stations over South Korea were aggregated with 6- and 12-month windows to develop HMM-DIs for various time scales. The HMM-DIs were extended to assess future droughts in South Korea using synthesized monthly rainfall data (2016-2100) under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. The overall results indicated that the HMM-DI can classify drought conditions considering inherent uncertainty embedded in observations and can also demonstrate the probabilistic drought occurrence in the future. | en_US |
dc.description.sponsorship | This work was supported by grants from the National Research Foundation (NRF-2013R1A1A2013160) and the Water Management Research Program (14AWMP-B082564-01) of Korean government. The authors thank Dr. Muhammad Ajmal for technical writing and proof reading the manuscript. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en_US | en_US |
dc.publisher | KOREAN SOCIETY OF CIVIL ENGINEERS-KSCE | en_US |
dc.subject | climate change | en_US |
dc.subject | drought | en_US |
dc.subject | hidden Markov model | en_US |
dc.subject | rainfall | en_US |
dc.title | Probabilistic assessment of meteorological drought over South Korea under RCP scenarios using a hidden Markov model | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
dc.relation.no | 1 | - |
dc.relation.volume | 22 | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1007/s12205-017-0788-2 | - |
dc.relation.page | 365-372 | - |
dc.relation.journal | KSCE JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING | - |
dc.contributor.googleauthor | Yu, Jisoo | - |
dc.contributor.googleauthor | Park, Yei Jun | - |
dc.contributor.googleauthor | Kwon, Hyun-Han | - |
dc.contributor.googleauthor | Kim, Tae-Woong | - |
dc.relation.code | 2018007422 | - |
dc.sector.campus | E | - |
dc.sector.daehak | COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING SCIENCES[E] | - |
dc.sector.department | DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING | - |
dc.identifier.pid | twkim72 | - |
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