Full metadata record
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | 송재욱 | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2022-02-21T05:21:00Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2022-02-21T05:21:00Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2020-06 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | IEEE ACCESS, v. 8, page. 111660-111682 | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 2169-3536 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9119388 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://repository.hanyang.ac.kr/handle/20.500.11754/167426 | - |
dc.description.abstract | This study aims to predict the direction of US stock prices by integrating time-varying effective transfer entropy (ETE) and various machine learning algorithms. At first, we explore that the ETE based on 3 and 6 months moving windows can be regarded as the market explanatory variable by analyzing the association between the financial crises and Granger-causal relationships among the stocks. Then, we discover that the prediction performance on the stock price direction can be improved when the ETE driven variable is integrated as a new feature in the logistic regression, multilayer perceptron, random forest, XGBoost, and long short-term memory network. Meanwhile, we suggest utilizing the adjusted accuracy derived from the risk-adjusted return in finance as a prediction performance measure. Lastly, we confirm that the multilayer perceptron and long short-term memory network are more suitable for stock price prediction. This study is the first attempt to predict the stock price direction using ETE, which can be conveniently applied to the practical field. | en_US |
dc.description.sponsorship | This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) Grant funded by the Ministry of Science and ICT under Grant 2018R1C1B5043835. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
dc.publisher | IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC | en_US |
dc.subject | Econophysics | en_US |
dc.subject | effective transfer entropy | en_US |
dc.subject | feature engineering | en_US |
dc.subject | information entropy | en_US |
dc.subject | machine learning | en_US |
dc.subject | prediction algorithms | en_US |
dc.subject | stock markets | en_US |
dc.subject | time series analysis | en_US |
dc.title | Predicting the Direction of US Stock Prices Using Effective Transfer Entropy and Machine Learning Techniques | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
dc.relation.volume | 8 | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3002174 | - |
dc.relation.page | 111660-111682 | - |
dc.relation.journal | IEEE ACCESS | - |
dc.contributor.googleauthor | Kim, Sondo | - |
dc.contributor.googleauthor | Ku, Seungmo | - |
dc.contributor.googleauthor | Chang, Woojin | - |
dc.contributor.googleauthor | Song, Jae Wook | - |
dc.relation.code | 2020045465 | - |
dc.sector.campus | S | - |
dc.sector.daehak | COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING[S] | - |
dc.sector.department | DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING | - |
dc.identifier.pid | jwsong | - |
dc.identifier.orcid | https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6455-6524 | - |
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