Association of inferior vena cava diameter ratio measured on computed tomography scans with the outcome of patients with septic shock

Abstract

The collapsibility and diameter of the inferior vena cava (IVC) are known to predict the volume state in critically ill patients. However, no study has examined the prognostic value of the IVC diameter ratio measured on computed tomography (CT) in patients with septic shock. A retrospective observational study was conducted on adult septic shock patients visiting the emergency department at a university hospital in Korea. The IVC diameter ratio was calculated by dividing the maximal transverse and anteroposterior diameters. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to investigate whether the IVC diameter ratio predicted in-hospital mortality. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated, and the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value with the cut-off values were computed. A total of 423 adult septic shock patients were included, and the in-hospital mortality rate was 17%. The median IVC diameter ratio in non-survivors was significantly greater than in survivors (1.56 cm vs 1.4 cm, P = .004). The IVC diameter ratio was found to be significantly associated with in-hospital mortality on multivariate logistic regression analysis after adjustment for confounding variables (odds ratio = 1.48, confidence interval: 1.097–1.998, P = 0.01). The AUC for IVC diameter ratio was 0.607. A cut-off IVC diameter ratio of ≥1.31 cm had 75% sensitivity and 42% specificity for predicting in-hospital mortality. The IVC diameter ratio measured on CT may to be helpful in predicting the prognosis of septic shock patients. However, due to its low diagnostic performance and sensitivity, further research is warranted.