철도건널목의 사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구

Abstract

철도건널목에서의 사고건수및 치명도를 예측하는 모형을 개발하였다. 과거 5년간의 전국 1700여개의 건널목의 사고 건수와, 주요 환경을 고려하여 모형식을 개발하였다.

Rail crossings pose special safety concerns for modem railroad operation with faster trains. More than ninety percent of train operation-related accidents occurs on at-grade crossings. Surest countermeasure for this safety hazard is to eliminate at-grade crossings by constructing over/under pass or by closing them. These eliminations usually require substantial amount of investment and/or heavy public protest from those affected by them. Thorough and objective analysis are usually required, and valid accident prediction models are essential to the process. This paper developed an accident prediction model for Korean at-grade crossings. The model utilized many important factors such as guide personnel, highway traffic, train frequency, train sight distance, and number of tracks. Developed model was validated with actual accident data.