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도보관광 수요와 파급효과 분석 - 제주올레를 중심으로 -

Title
도보관광 수요와 파급효과 분석 - 제주올레를 중심으로 -
Other Titles
Research Articles : Forecasting Demand and Estimating the Economic Impact of Walk Tourists: Focused on Jeju Olle
Author
이훈
Keywords
도보관광; 제주올레; 수요예측; 산업연관분석; 시계열모형; 회귀분석모형; Walk tourism; Jeju Olle; Forecasting; Input-output analysis; Time-series model; Regression model
Issue Date
2011-10
Publisher
한국관광학회
Citation
관광학연구, Vol. 35 No. 8, 389-408
Abstract
Walking tourism is being widely spread in Korea as a new type of tourism. Jeju Olle could be regarded as the first and most popular walking tourism destination in Korea. Using the holt exponential smoothing method, this study forecasted the future demand of Jeju Olle tourism. It also estimated the economic impact of Jeju walking tourism using the I-O analysis. Date were collected from 400 respondents by Internet survey from Dec. 2009 to Jan. 2010. Results showed that demand for walking tourism was predicted to be 12% of total tourists of Jeju by 2015. Results also indicated that demand for Jeju Olle tourism would be 1.7 million by the same year. In addition, the results of I-O analysis indicated that Jeju Olle tourism generated 1.476 billion Won of output impact, 301.8 million Won of value-added, 89.8 million Won of government revenue, and 12,751 jobs. These results imply that a sharp increase in walking tourism and its considerable economic impact will last for a while.
URI
http://kiss.kstudy.com/thesis/thesis-view.asp?key=3157896
ISSN
1226-0533
Appears in Collections:
COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCIENCES[S](사회과학대학) > TOURISM(관광학부) > Articles
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