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Estimation of CO2 emissions from heavy-duty vehicles in Korea and potential for reduction based on scenario analysis

Title
Estimation of CO2 emissions from heavy-duty vehicles in Korea and potential for reduction based on scenario analysis
Author
박성욱
Keywords
CO2 emission; Vehicle simulation
Issue Date
2018-06
Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
Citation
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, v. 636, page. 1192-1201
Abstract
Estimations of CO2 emissions and the potential to reduce heavy-duty vehicles in Korea under different reduction scenarios are presented in this paper. Technologically achievable CO2 reduction rates are applied to four scenarios: the business as usual (BAU) scenario, mild scenario, normal scenario, and aggressive scenario. In estimating CO2 emissions, a simulation model based on longitudinal vehicle dynamicswas used in cooperation with average vehicle mileage traveled and the number of registered Korean heavy-duty vehicles. In the BAU scenario, which is the reference scenario, 30.82 million tons of CO2 will be emitted in 2030, and CO2 emissions will be reduced by 2.1%, 4%, and 5%, respectively, in mild, normal, and aggressive scenarios. In 2040, the reduction effects of these scenarios will be 5.7%, 10.9%, and 15.8%, respectively. These results indicate the range of available potential reduction of CO2 by technical improvements or the CO2 emission regulation of heavy-duty vehicles in Korea.
URI
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969718314463?via%3Dihubhttp://repository.hanyang.ac.kr/handle/20.500.11754/119166
ISSN
0048-9697; 1879-1026
DOI
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.04.269
Appears in Collections:
COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING[S](공과대학) > MECHANICAL ENGINEERING(기계공학부) > Articles
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